
He caught 24 of 58 targets for 301 yards and both his touchdowns after landing with the Jets last year — now he gets a full season of Geno Smith instead of whoever Indy was rolling out, at a WR74 price.
Cheap picks I'm calling ahead of their price. The model recommends players the Board ranks meaningfully ahead of the market in round 10 or later; the final list is mine.

He caught 24 of 58 targets for 301 yards and both his touchdowns after landing with the Jets last year — now he gets a full season of Geno Smith instead of whoever Indy was rolling out, at a WR74 price.
Fully healthy for the first time since he was a first-round talent in 2024, and his own head coach has said the job was always meant to be his. Zero games played in 2025 is the risk, stated plainly — but at this price you aren't paying for the upside, and it's real.
Cleveland spent the 39th pick of April's draft on him, and second-round receivers get every chance to play early. The market lets him go in round 13. That's a free square: real draft capital, a path to snaps, and a price that asks him to be nothing. My board has him eleven receiver spots ahead of his cost, and at that cost the downside is a bench slot.

He ran for 746 yards on 145 carries at 5.1 yards a pop last year in a change-of-pace role, and there's real chatter the Rams push this toward a 50/50 split — he's the best handcuff in football at a RB35 price.
An undrafted rookie with no NFL snaps, in a receiver room that runs through Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel and Christian Kirk before it gets to him. He was the standout of the August 13 preseason look. That is the whole case, and round 12 is the right place to act on it.
These are my picks. Many started as the model's calls — its backtest graded about 59% against a coin-flip floor of about 51% across the 2018–2025 drafts — and some are mine alone. All of them are mine to answer for: every pick is logged the day it publishes and graded when the season ends.
THE 2026 FILM ROOM · MY PICKS, MODEL-ASSISTED · EVERY PICK LOGGED ON PUBLISH AND GRADED AT SEASON’S END
Two players can share an ADP and be nothing alike. I measured how far a draft slot actually moves, by position and by round, across eight seasons.
Jon Stone · AUG 18, 2026I priced every tight end pick against the guy you could have had for free. Only one range of the draft came back worth the pick.
Jon Stone · AUG 18, 2026Everyone knows a 400-touch season breaks a running back. I measured it against seventeen years of data, and the thing everyone knows isn't there. Something else is.
Jon Stone · AUG 18, 2026