Draft StrategyAUG 10, 2026
The Injury-Prone Label Is Half a Myth
Fantasy's most expensive label, tested against fifteen years of data. Half of it is a myth. The other half is worse than you think.
Jon StoneDraft Season · 2026 · 25 days to kickoffRock-solid analysis.
Rock-solid analysis.
Ice-cold calls.
The Board: ranked, tiered, and priced, with the stat line under every pick. No hedging, no hot takes, nothing to configure — just a board you can draft on. Nothing to configure.
The Board · Top 5 OverallHALF PPR
- 01Jahmyr GibbsDETRB
- 02Ja'Marr ChaseCINWR
- 03Bijan RobinsonATLRB
- 04Christian McCaffreySFRB
- 05Jonathan TaylorINDRB
Draft Board
The 2026 Board · QBQuarterbacks
| RK | Player | Age | Bye | ADP | Pts | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01OVR 20 | Josh AllenBUF | 30 | 7 | 28.2 | 396.0 | T1 |
| 02OVR 40 | Lamar JacksonBAL | 29 | 13 | 53.9 | 362.4 | T2 |
| 03OVR 49 | Drake MayeNE | 24 | 11 | 47.5 | 355.0 | T2 |
| 04OVR 56 | Joe BurrowCIN | 29 | 6 | 55.8 | 345.3 | T3 |
| 05OVR 70 | Jayden DanielsWAS | 25 | 7 | 72.7 | 330.7 | T3 |
| 06OVR 85 | Jalen HurtsPHI | 28 | 10 | 76.2 | 310.8 | T4 |
| 07OVR 92 | Caleb WilliamsCHI | 24 | 10 | 97.2 | 303.5 | T4 |
| 08OVR 98 | Justin HerbertLAC | 28 | 7 | 105.5 | 298.9 | T4 |
- 01Josh AllenQB · BUF · AGE 30 · BYE 7 · ADP 28.2396.0
- 02Lamar JacksonQB · BAL · AGE 29 · BYE 13 · ADP 53.9362.4
- 03Drake MayeQB · NE · AGE 24 · BYE 11 · ADP 47.5355.0
- 04Joe BurrowQB · CIN · AGE 29 · BYE 6 · ADP 55.8345.3
- 05Jayden DanielsQB · WAS · AGE 25 · BYE 7 · ADP 72.7330.7
- 06Jalen HurtsQB · PHI · AGE 28 · BYE 10 · ADP 76.2310.8
Film Room
Where I’m off the market
ADP #84 · BOARD #123
Brock Purdy
SFQBThe price is still paying for 2023, when he was QB6 on 4,280 yards and 31 touchdowns. What's happened since: QB13 in 2024, then nine games and ten interceptions in an injury-wrecked 2025. He goes off the board around pick 70 — QB7 money for a quarterback my board has at QB12, and that gap is exactly the kind of pick that quietly loses you a draft.
All Bust Risks →ADP #142 · BOARD #113
Dalton Kincaid
BUFTEHe led every qualifying tight end in yards per route last year in limited snaps. And yes — four missed games, then five: that's the two-year pattern that usually repeats, and it's exactly why the price is this low. At this price the ceiling is worth the risk I'm knowingly taking.
All Sleepers →ADP #54 · BOARD #79
Alec Pierce
INDWRA thousand-yard season on 84 targets is a magic trick: twelve yards per target, the kind of efficiency that doesn't repeat, on the kind of target volume that does. The market is drafting the yards at WR25. My board prices the targets, and they say WR35. I'm not out on the player — I'm out at this price.
All Fades →Latest breakdowns
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