Draft StrategyAUG 18, 2026
ADP Is a Promise at Receiver and a Suggestion at Tight End
Two players can share an ADP and be nothing alike. I measured how far a draft slot actually moves, by position and by round, across eight seasons.
Jon StoneWeek 1 · 2026 Season · Updated Thu 6:00 AM ETRock-solid analysis.
Rock-solid analysis.
Ice-cold calls.
Weekly rankings, start/sit verdicts, and deep breakdowns from Jon Stone. No hedging, no hot takes — just calls you can build a lineup on.
Week 1 verdicts
- Michael MayerOn the Rocks
- George KittleIce Cold
- Juwan JohnsonSet in Stone
- Jared GoffOn the Rocks
Weekly Rankings
Week 1 · QBQuarterbacks
| RK | Rank change | Player | OPP | Matchup | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | — | Lamar JacksonBALQB | IND | A | 19.6 |
| 02 | — | Joe BurrowCINQB | TB | A | 18.9 |
| 03 | — | Jalen HurtsPHIQB | WAS | A | 19.5 |
| 04 | — | Justin HerbertLACQB | ARI | A | 17.2 |
| 05 | — | Josh AllenBUFQB | HOU | C | 20.0 |
| 06 | — | Dak PrescottDALQB | NYG | B | 16.3 |
| 07 | — | Caleb WilliamsCHIQB | CAR | B | 16.8 |
| 08 | — | Jared GoffDETQB | NO | A | 15.2 |
- 01Lamar JacksonBAL · INDA—
- 02Joe BurrowCIN · TBA—
- 03Jalen HurtsPHI · WASA—
- 04Justin HerbertLAC · ARIA—
- 05Josh AllenBUF · HOUC—
- 06Dak PrescottDAL · NYGB—
Start / Sit
This week’s verdicts
Ice ColdSIT
George Kittle
SFTELAI have him TE16 — draft-day value says TE9. Think twice before starting him. The matchup is neutral.
Set in StoneSTART
Juwan Johnson
NOTEDETI have him TE9 — draft-day value says TE15. Start him. It's a tough matchup.
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Latest breakdowns
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