Lead call
RBDe'Von AchaneMIA
Miami released Tua and handed the offense to Malik Willis, who has six career starts. A shakier passing game means defenses can crowd the box against exactly the kind of back Achane is.
The Film Room · 2026
Bust Risks
Expensive picks I think can actually hurt — the cost of being wrong here is a premium pick. The model recommends top-nine-round players the Board ranks behind the market by enough points to matter; the final list is mine.
- TEHarold FanninCLE
Rookie tight end seasons this good almost never repeat. He's also dealing with the same groin injury that ended his 2025 season, and the Browns added more mouths to feed in the passing game.
WRMalik NabersNYGTorn ACL and meniscus in Week 4 last season, a second cleanup surgery in May, and he's back at practice, and as of mid-August there's still no target date for his return.
- QBMatthew StaffordLA
46 touchdowns on 597 throws last year, a 7.7% rate from a passer whose previous sixteen seasons sit at 4.6%. That's the number a QB7 price is paying for. He's 38, he finished QB15 and QB19 the two years before the spike, and my board calls the spike what it is: QB15.
These are my picks. Many started as the model's calls — its backtest graded about 59% against a coin-flip floor of about 51% across the 2018–2025 drafts — and some are mine alone. All of them are mine to answer for: every pick is logged the day it publishes and graded when the season ends.
THE 2026 FILM ROOM · MY PICKS, MODEL-ASSISTED · EVERY PICK LOGGED ON PUBLISH AND GRADED AT SEASON’S END
Photo credits
- Malik Nabers: photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
- De'Von Achane: photo by FanDuel, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons
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