Draft StrategyAUG 18, 2026
ADP Is a Promise at Receiver and a Suggestion at Tight End
Two players can share an ADP and be nothing alike. I measured how far a draft slot actually moves, by position and by round, across eight seasons.
Articles
Draft strategy, position deep-dives, and the thinking behind the calls. No hedging.
Draft StrategyAUG 18, 2026
What a Tight End Pick Actually Buys
I priced every tight end pick against the guy you could have had for free. Only one range of the draft came back worth the pick.
Draft StrategyAUG 18, 2026
The Workhorse Cliff Is a Myth. The Birthday Isn't.
Everyone knows a 400-touch season breaks a running back. I measured it against seventeen years of data, and the thing everyone knows isn't there. Something else is.
Draft StrategyAUG 10, 2026
The Injury-Prone Label Is Half a Myth
Fantasy's most expensive label, tested against fifteen years of data. Half of it is a myth. The other half is worse than you think.
Draft StrategyAUG 7, 2026
Opportunity Is Everything
Everyone says opportunity is king. Almost nobody drafts like it. Here's what ten years of numbers actually say, and how to use them.
Draft StrategyAUG 7, 2026
Why Tiers Beat Rankings
You don't win your league at the draft, you merely set the foundation. Why tiers are the prep that survives contact with your league mates.